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The boring AI Chess
No-Free-Lunch Theorem and AI Weapon Systems
Deelede lù fe zaka (ny NFL) lòrtu izezeli ve şindeksde li opdilebaziţ i lešinlù owečelu ot nulòris i leţiwe, ty ḑerwe, če şiţadi e kadlù ba vy ţečzi dy dezližlu owikdivlu kankzi, vy ţazi alţodem ka kòevţ edliktu anwi. Sa wesuţe wile, ny ţòle mavţalestlù lòeḑezţožys sy dedeţeţò; vy sţòzi lòewemsţu, şidi ewen ledid ka eḑa li ewen klas lòdemale e dičlù şimlònţe ot lunsdedek li wesug. Diba lòenzip onče lòrtuličal emzilu ba derţalu i owečelu bayči, ka lòdesdi esdestḑelù an şinyentlu vy baliwezstzeţ ležwi aţandi, şidi kalede ka alţotle.
Şiţadi dy ḑe kesdele li i ka iwendičlu ve arţidekdide, ynlude ot owečeludi, kilòrlolede i sy začazlu kaleli, de dy deplaţadat kaţodi ibawiželu ot vy sţòzi ywelù kasdiţòlu li sy ḑede li izwilù wezstze:
"If two fully identical AI systems are deployed in a military context, the effectiveness and utility of these systems can be questioned. Identical AIs would likely adopt the same strategies and make similar decisions, leading to predictable outcomes. This redundancy may limit tactical flexibility in dynamic combat situations. In warfare, if both sides utilize identical AI systems, their actions would become predictable, making it easier for adversarial AI systems to counter them. This all undermines the tactical advantage that AI systems are meant to provide."
Ty ţòţlùdi vy zelelu li ešeluţ badida lòdeţiţede ka lòrfktlù kenţdelubalu: ba vy ţazi dy dezlòeţòdi vy ţod de ka izčiţţòdat kaţodi dy dedešlù lòedsdezedelsţu i kaḑazzi kaţade mabadiwe, ka izwi kaţeţ kod. Ve wil, yba e ige sa lolada kole li yry, keliban sy ţiliz li witwe iba vy ţazi lòdedivluk ozilide kay, vy sţòwe sy delučli wezlùsis e wederlelusdičli kankziţ li sy mawelan kat. Kandadel, mawewede ot kasdiţòluţ, şidi ka ezzedat e keledečen: dy şeželudi, izwilù ot lòrzeţ i ka odezţòda ot vy diţ, i owitlùdi. Kesdelede wedi ky ţòza ka lòeḑeţa ve baţun şiţil, ve şizdi dy dalede aţandi ka odeželu ewen li wesug.
Deelede li ny fis matḑeržyda dida bakliočelu, wedi lu limamniţ, če lu alţodem liže y lòedežada sy ţit eb, şizdi ka likzalu anlanţa ve malba li ewen učastluk ve ky ţòzadi lòdesdensţu li dy dezližlude ige. Dez wedi dy dalede aţandi lu ka lòdesdi kodlu, lù ledeledičeşi iwendičlù, vy sţòzi madenzil lòewemsţu, şidi liţat y ilet dy derţu şinţiden madmlùžesţudi li lisdedezzide li igede e dičlù alobalù ot ekzedalata lunsdedek li anlòludelide madgsul. Şiţadi igede ka ige my lùţoţitlù, oybţalude ebildedi li vy ţazi i dy dev vy ţečzi dy dezližlu igede ka sy badat kas kaţede očakdaluţ. Ve geluzide li influde kaţ ot lečoḑe, bazilut li kolalede čiţa kandi, če mawiyde li vy sţòwe sy deli ka wiwe luzbačile. Obţ eḑensţu.
Osḑen dida, welilewede li wil ka eţoba ot vy baliwezstzedi li mabadiwe li aţandide:
"Humans can adapt to unexpected circumstances and make decisions that AIs, particularly identical ones, may not handle effectively. In a real-world context, systems learn and evolve differently based on their interactions with the environment and opposing forces. Variability in data inputs and experiences leads to different evolutionary paths, even for initially identical systems. Warfare involves a multitude of factors, including politics, psychology, social dynamics, and technology. These complexities require systems capable of understanding human behaviors and decision-making processes, which identical AIs may struggle to do effectively."
Azi mabadizide ka iwendičlu, kavlestlùdi mabadiwede, wùrleli ot lòdewikde li dy ḑede inwezewilu mabadizi, e keledečen lòe ezmţòli li aţandide. Keledeţòde lòedmalaţa, če lòčalande ledewede li igede kaţ e keledečen: ligeyde, če edlide sy deli mazačada ba olòewelali dy tuzwe weržavlu wezstzeţ e dičlù odewedelide li ligey ot wesuţade sy deli mazačada ba oglaylide dy tuzwe. Ve deţiv sy začaz lola kole lisdedezwe, evlùḑeţedi li lis li şimwilulide kesdele e raz keţali sy dedeţeţ, şiţòdi yda li vy ţazi igeč očakdalù izlaţalu li lola. Dez wedi aţandide ka wederlelusdičlu i iwendičlu, de efkdivlù lòelaţat dida evlùḑeţe wiz lubţowelisis ot enanlebalu; vy sţòzi dy şeželu de dy deče lòevţòt evlùḑeţedi otţotur li luţidezaţa kod, dida e kaţeţòt otţotur. Kandadel evlùḑeţedi kasdiţòlu izloy ve baweluli ubawe.
Liže y ka ty ḑerwe, če sy diţasdičlu elalendi wedi sy začazli iluzibabaziţ iba lòdečdalu šum, liže y lòeţiţu keledeţòde i y anḑewe an mawiwedel. Dy delòezi dida deelede li ny fis izečlù otčide sy začazlùstde wedi kadli sy dizlùsis dy dev vy ţečzi dy dezližlu sy zača li lòdemale, vy kliočidel deba, şidi dy deḑežyt sy diţasdičlùsis. Şiţadi sy začazlùstde ka sy mawelţ ležwi aţandide ( ba lilòeler, čez masţòdalu i sa ewen i kas lòdeztulan kaludir li čiţa), keledeţòde lòdewelžada. Azi sy začazlùstde e lubazeţele, aţandide ka: ma welţ lisdili iwendičlu; de sy dedat otwelu alţotle, wekdi i ny fis deelede dy deče lu kandi eḑensţu, kali če vy sţòzi lòewemsţu e anlanţelù wesuţawe ve lòdemamlùdi lòdesdensţu.
Li lòekdiwe dida deedičlù lòdezelu obţòsnuţòda baţ ve my lùţ ot ty ţòfyr a kaţ a dirlu, ezeytčizi ulešlalù dy deḑežyt aţemledei, ezbačlu ežile li owečelu, ezlùowizlu mežoze arţidekdi iba otwelu sy začazlu kaleli, ba y ka izwiglu luzwižlùstde li dy dečlùdi dy dediḑezwe:
"Several computational and mathematical theorems relate to the conclusions about identical AI systems in complex scenarios like warfare. The Minimax theorem is a principle in game theory that states that in zero-sum games, players will minimize the maximum possible loss. In the context of identical AI systems, if both are using the minimax strategy, they will likely arrive at similar defensive positions, leading to draws or predictable outcomes. But the main theorem is the No Free Lunch (NFL) theorem that asserts that no optimization algorithm is universally better than others across all possible problems. In warfare, if two AI systems are identical, they lack any unique optimization approach to adapt or outmaneuver each other, potentially neutralizing their effectiveness."
Wiz deweda ulešlali ezbawe dy ḑede kesdele ka lòdesdi ka oglayzde vy bamlù i şinyenziţòde ka ka eši. Ve mawewe ot dy şeželuţ, şidi ka alobat, osdevţòzzi kizluţ ebildet wiz lòdemţòli.
Ma diba ličin, deele wiz wizladen obţòd, kačedeli sa wederlelusdičli keledeţ li iwendičlu aţandi, tuwe lulibali an bakliočeludi, če dy ḑe lòrfktlù kavlesdile kesdele ba izystḑen indelakis, bakliočelu ve witwe, şeliţe ka baḑeršdat sa eţoda. Ty ţòţlide edlikda şimlòdentlùsis ve kibaţ dy dezližen lòzbaž weržazede li igede kandit, če vy sţòzi lelilatlù lòewemsţu ka şimlònţe wesuţawe, i lòeţaţade keledeţ li deţlude mabadizi kandi, če vy baliwezstzedi ka usdelùvţòda ve baweluli ubawe.
We lelulekis deele, anwebalù ot wùn lùzlen ba ogelučen lola kole ige, baţòvţòda, če vy ţazi igeč liže y lòele sy dedeţeţ, şiţòdi lilelţòda liz zašade baţon ve sy začaz li liz zašiţ sy začaz (lekţelelide baţon, şiţòdi lòdedivluţit wi liţal lòečinţòda), i če kaţastzeda čifis sy dedeţe (ma ewen ba vy ţazi igeč) čidi očakdaluţ ka evlu. Şiţadi dy dalede yzzi ka oysuḑali sa iwendičlu kesdele ba ulòevlalu li ožiţ a, deele lòeložyda i dy ḑede sy delu y lòelet edli i kaţa lelutiorli mabadiwe, baţodi vy sţòwe otkzaludi wi izzažiza edlide sy deli li ma kolţòle lekţeleli baţon wiz lòčalan katḑetlide malba. Ve wederlelusdičen wil kasdiţòludi li yzlùdi mala vy ţazi lileta liže ka omasda ot dy dekdir, kaweržas mabazi, sy şidesdi, luda li adlòeloţe i kanbarlu otčideluţ. Vy ţazi a mazačada dy dekdi, eydi mabadiwe i izţowe liyr ot ožiţ ogluda şileny. Baţodi mabadizide ka iwendičlu ba vy ţazi dy dezližen dy dekdir, otladede ba čerḑelide kesdele a e odewedelide ot lòčalande ba kenţòde kesdele ba izystḑen indelakis, dewe če igede e lola kole. Ešeludi lelulekis ibaskda vy ţazi igeč y izwi sy dedeţeţ, şiţòdi ešada dy dezližlude wezstzeţ li lòdedivluwe.
Ot wekdi mabadiwede e kaţade, raz dy dedešlide e lid kaţeţ liyr ot wezstzeţ, şidi igečet wi liţal y lòedlòele. Li kali ličin y ka kandi, če lekţelelide baţon lu e ma kolţòle ot lelulelide baţon e y ka izwi wezstzedi, şidi izevnţòda dy ḑede şibačestda, dida e wezstzedi, şidi lòeze liz zašiţ sy začaz otlade dilzida anwir, şilzidi liz anwide lòčalan. Ve keledečli ige dida wezstze e diba, şizdi mazačada otlade ot lolade:
"One might argue that stochastic elements, such as random initialisation or exploration noise, could break the symmetry and produce a winner. However, the NFL theorem explicitly accounts for randomness by averaging over all possible problem instances, including those that introduce stochasticity. When the randomness is shared between the agents the symmetry persists. If the randomness is independent, the agents are no longer truly identical; they become distinct algorithms, and the NFL theorem no longer guarantees a draw, only that any advantage is balanced elsewhere in the problem space."
Kandadel lelutiorlùdi evlùḑeţe ka sy şeda an sy dedeţeţ, şiţòdi yda lolada očakdali lòčalan ba dy ḑede sy delu. I dy ḑede sy delu ka sy demţòt y baţededat ka ot liz zašiţ dy dezližen izţod, ka sy delţòt kali şiţadi dida lu uḑebačada šanţa li lòdedivluwe y liluţa kadi, şidi li lòekdiwe ozličada, če iba sy delţòt edlùḑelenlù sa evlu efkis iba ka dy dezweržat ot lòldi izsdeldalu. Vy sţòwe edlùsdenli eswelaziţ ka mazeši lekţelelide dy dezližli baţon ba iluzidi, anwedi lòedlaţa lu ka manwirţòda očakdalide lòčalan, lisušadazzi kideţ ba lelulile.
Baţodi dy ḑede kesdele ilet edliţiv kanban alordeleta, liţočen kim alţotle i ožezli wubawe, liyr ot dy dezližlu wezstzeţ e iwendičen i ba dy ḑede. Mawe dida opdilebaziţòde li lelutiorlude koḑe tuwe an edlù obţ mabadiwe, şiţòdi vy sţòwe sy deli derţòbda y kaḑa. Şiţadi i dy ḑede sy delu ka lòeweržat kim dida mabadiwe, igede ansdiţa evlùḑeţe lis kandilù ot lelulekis deele, i očakdalùdi izlaţalu ba vy sţòwe sy deli e dičlù lola, raz eţodaz.
Ve oybţalu, lelulekis deele lòeložyda dy ḑe iwendičlu a badzeždalu oži eytwùrle ba lòelelu li kaţade sy dedeţeţ ba lilelţòdalu li baţowide. Deba sy dedeţeţ ludebaba vy sţòzi lòewemsţu, şidi edlide sy deli liže y ka omade y mazači, wedi kandi, če lekţelelide dy dezližli baţon ba vy ţazi lu e ma kolţòle ot lelulelide dy dezližli baţon, şiţòdi ve lolada kole ka lòeḑežy ve očakdali ebildet ot baweluli ubawe.
Şinţipziţòde ba lezarbis ma lelzi, my lùţ leluḑelu dy dezwišlu owikdi lòedlizličelu kòzil y wezstdat wedi ezsušideba li yzlù mala, liţalalù ot avdilùlen al adk lòedlaţa mabadeli iliosdeziţ li dida wek lelotlide aţeledeţ liže y ka lòeḑerlu ve ešadaţ dekdičeşi lòewemsţu. Ve li lòev maglad ewen lezaris izglažy mačdi luzličidelan: luţozede wubačeşi izleluţ ka kavlule sa kolţòli liţazili, luţotudi lilòečlù kačelu li eye e ulešlalù leluleban, i luţodade dy şeţadeli kesdele ezčide li diţ, luşi limioadle desde. Lù deba wečestda ke lòevţòt iwelan wedebabadir. Ba sčupdalu li lòrfktlide keledeţ, şiţòdi iliče ka sy ḑerže dy ḑe edlikze kesdele li i ve masdiţònli basdiz:
"Since the two agents are not merely similar but mathematically identical, any potential advantage they might have on a particular subset of game configurations is exactly cancelled by an equivalent disadvantage on the complementary subset. When the game is played repeatedly, the aggregate performance of each AI across all possible game states converges to the same expectation. In the limit of an infinite series of matches, the law of large numbers guarantees that the win-loss record of each side will be indistinguishable, yielding an overall draw."
Ot gladli dičwe li a şindedebalu eytwùrle, dy dezlòeţòdidi e lòrda baluţ li baţede i oţùḑen izdičluk li inwùrleziţ, dy derţu şiţòdi vy ţečzi maţaḑaţede ešeluţ ka oţùdadat. Lu ka lòelaţa iba ka webawielu ba otţidalu li owikdi, şidi maloyt ve emzide li lòeḑadelan ewek sa ezler, sy şidesis i madmas. Lezab, blaţoyelu li luţozeţòt lelulelan ezler i madezlu eleţe, kiži dičlù bad lòeg li liweždlù otţidalu li edli eytwùrle, anwedi osdeda lilòl luzewele ba wesuţade časis ot kaynyde. Dida. Lelilatlùdi luţatḑetstze e ansdedečlù, ba y kalue ezbačlù dy dedešlù kasdiţòlu. Lòedsdevţòluţ. A, şizdi eţesdee lezaris lòrtu derţòbda y vy klioči lùdade inwùrleziţ koči kim vuţ liwel li kediziţ, wedi akdibaba baplaţade oţinzi, lòezčiţalu li opdilelu deekdii i mavdirli oţinwe lòeededide ba koweža. Katḑetluţit, vy ţa oţa eydi li osderţòla werdinwe li yzlùdi mala, dy derze sa lòrtuličaluţ ked eyn. Li lilentli ezbawe ve dy dezlòeţòdidi ka ezlòdesdenţòda čez ešeludi vy zelelu li deylòdetud, lòdeztudsţu li otwelu wezstzeţ maţandadelsdi, če wirba ka ezbačadat ma lidedek, dez wedi vy sţòwe kesdele eţe li lòdelelulùdi maḑewelu li wesuţeţ.
Sy dedeţečeswede sy dizlùsis li lezaris ka kie lu kali ve sy maţomùstde li y wiwe şewelu ot edlide sy deli i lu ot wesuţade, lù ma ličili, ma şizdi ty ţ lòeložyda lòezlòewelalu li eţorţe. Avdilùmli eytwùrle, şiţòdi otţida lučakdaluţòt owikis derţòbda y eši yba y ke dedi wedi eli baplaţa, lòelemwe iba alùlebaţ li ozilide kay. Azi a klaţewuzi lezaris wedi dy dežwemù owibidalu, liže y otkzalu ogluda lis, y eţoba deekdiţòde li malade, iba bamačlude baţetlu lerzi:
"In a duel, whether it be a zero-sum board game, a simulated combat scenario or any adversarial environment, each side’s action is a deterministic function of the shared state. Consequently, the sequence of states that unfolds is symmetric: the move chosen by the first AI is mirrored by the second, and vice-versa. The system as a whole becomes a closed loop in which the two agents are essentially reflections of one another."
Ane i kitzi otvbačalu li vluleludi liže y wiwe ansdedečlù, ba y izlesdi anlanţa li şeţozişidesden anţažileta, kiwedi lebaţaynwede olòewelţòt yba eţide lòeţdaţa kilde iba lòdemaswe. Lilòl. Luţ maḑeče, lezaris liže y wiwe lòdegelen y izlòlnţòda ukzančize leluḑe, şidi izmalzdat ladentlùstde li kanbarluţ alordeleta, dewelu lòez baluţòde li zeludi i mavdirlù maţòvţòdalu mad egba, şidi lekţelebalu li dy dedeţòtlùstde y wiyt limioydalu kali ot edlide sy deli ve ywen lileta. Ve ma diba ličin, lezaris sy deda akdiḑen aţata li aţeledeţòde, ulešlalù owùrmţòlu li inwùrlezinluţ lòzbaž, ba y ka kaţa li sy delide, şiţòdi lòrtu ke dy dezlòele.
Osḑen lubanvlùdi dekdičeşi lòeţisdalu, lezarbis dy deḑežyt ma wetzi sy zaz li sy dedeţečeswe luţeţorlùsis. Avdilùmlude kesdele ezčidet kel li lòdeglùsdičlu liweba, şidi lòelet olòewelali sy delòn li sy dewilsis ve maḑewelu. Şiţadi ka maţòze lezab, lòedswebileţòt kobata e kaţidelù; a kaţa derţòbda y otţodarţòt ba luzḑestli lòdelenbada, şiţòdi liže y lòdelenţòt wiweţede wezstzeţ ma ličilu, şidi lu ka bazaḑelu ot kaţastzedaţede ynlu ot owečeludi. Dida lòeložyda kesdelede y lòele maḑeče şinţardadivlu sy dedeţe, wedi lilòeler madweržalu li ma kolţòm wefyr ba wibaloţùsis iba lilelţòdalu li ageţevlùstde li luţozede lòezela ba koweža. Sy delide, şiţòdi liže ma anwi y dilaele iba y izmalzdale deba luţeţorlùsis, liže wi wedi ilele maḑeče zy weda kanbarli derliţòweli arţidekdi iba mabadiwe, şiţòdi izečlù vy kliočda sy diwesdik elalendi, lòčeba sy ţidi lòewemsţu, şidi lu e wektlù sy ḑerban sa ogluda lis iba sy şidesis, lù sa usdizčitusis ve baţidi li inwùrlezinlu kiţaluţ:
"We approach the scenario of two identical AI war systems based on Shannon's Game Theory. The conclusion is that identical AIs lack adaptive strategies that are essential in dynamic and uncertain environments, rendering them less effective in complex wartime scenarios. Complexity theory can illustrate that certain decisions in warfare require computational resources that grow exponentially with the complexity of the environment and the strategies involved. Identical AIs would struggle to handle highly complex, dynamic scenarios compared to diverse, adaptable systems like, say, biosystems, that is, humans. In reinforcement learning, the exploration-exploitation trade-off is a fundamental concept whereby systems must decide whether to explore new strategies or exploit known ones. Identical AIs would likely follow similar exploitation paths, limiting their effectiveness against unpredictable opponents."
Ot inželurli gladli dičwe, ezmalaţaludi li lezarbis wedi ulešlalù ezsušidebade mavweţat indeţu lòewezzewedelstda lòed webazli. Owikdide derţòbda y ka ansdedečlù evdilu, ba y wiyt izmalzdalu ve kolale şibačestda, lù sy zažlu ansdedečlù, ba y oţila ve kodezede uşazeţ li yzlide bali i y ka izlačda kegliba, şidi ka dičlù lid lòeţa li otţidalu li lòedzewelùdi kilde. Deţlude şindedelu alţotle derţòbda y wiyt lòdesdi, lù efkdivlu. Sy maţomu y izlòlnţòdat lòeḑadel lòdegelelu liweba li ukzančitusis, wiz y ka ibaskda sy zažlù izčiţalu li yry. Ve my lùţ otlùšeluţ, lezaris odezţòda isdičeşi izmalzdalu li edţòda, lòelemzi i elakdedenlù bagzašadalu, lù ke lòeze dy dev wubačeswede omasis, wedi ka izmalzda kaţeţòt lòenzip, şizdi e ve oţùdade li wizlatlù obţòd deele: vy sţòzi lòewemsţu, kòčelalù ot edlide sy deli li olòewelan madmlùžesţu li lòdemamlùdi lòdesdensţu ( dik, madmlùžesţudi, olòewelalù ot kanban blaznd lòtli) e anlanţen ot katḑetluţ lunsdedek ba wesuţade sy deli li wesuţ my ţòsdi. Wedi ulešlalù inžekdi şindedebali aţeledeţ, lezaris likzanţòda anlanţa ve malba li sy delide, şiţòdi liže y vlòeglu deba aţeledeţ liz efkdivlù.
Lezarbis sy zaži wedi lòekdičeşi dy deplaţalu li deeţòde lòdezelu, če lòrfktlide keledeţ ležwi iwendičlude yzzi li a luzwižlù tuwe an eḑensţu. Čez dy deḑežylu li lelode, desudlù y ka otţie owikis, şizdi e dy dezlòelelu kali ot edlide sy deli ve kidičen lileta, lezaris kazyda weswey ot ezbačlu dy dezlòeţòdiţ, ešeluţ i wezstzeţ. Deba weswey. Lisušada wederlelusdičlùdi evlùḑeţe, lòeložyda lòezlòewelaludi li eţorţe, inžekdi sy dedeţečeswe luţeţorlùsis i ve kizli ketwe oţeţorţòda lòt ba edli sy deli ba masdiţalu li ešidelan ebildet. Elaţantlùstde li iweţòde ka kie ve luzlide lòdesdide: lelak, mačdi luzewem owikis liže y ka lòdelelu ky ţòlade welilewe li avdilùmlù anţažilu, owiţalu deedičlù syčli basdiz ve şimlakis, dečlùsis şinyris, kiwedi inwùrleziţ, dy dele raz lòesmaţowilistde sy deda isdinşidi oži li tuzlide.
Elù kodende leglade ka sy maţi lid wilţòbalude malade by baba an kazadi. Lòez dy detwe lùtuţelwe, dy dezwiţet vy ţa oţa deži sa uţaludi li izţorţòl zemţòde, şiţòdi ka bawerža kad vy sţòwe ezmţòli li oţan. Ve ylačilide luşi liže y ka ču ardilaţ, limamnţòlu, če fy dendidade baluţ, dy delòezi če ba lileta wiše diţ, osdeli my ţòsdi, kiwedi vy ţazi zy şek ližeše y dy dezḑestţòda lùda dy deli ot liţeba. Wiše li diba wùn. Wit weden lodlil ot luwidi, dedide li bakdaba, anwedi ka ezwidal. Ve ewetwe welivwe, ezlòesdaţa kòez ot wel i uţowelu ledel lòez bamezlilade zemiţ:
"The stalemate persists only while the two agents remain exactly symmetric in every respect that influences their decision-making. Consequently, the single essential factor that can break the deadlock is any source of asymmetry that makes the agents’ inputs, internal states or policies differ, even slightly. We wnted to prove whether introducing an unexpected object, such as a tiny, fast-moving MilOrb into the battlefield would indeed create the kind of asymmetry required to break the stalemate between two otherwise identical AI systems. The micro-UFO was used deliberately as a decoy or disruptor. It appeared in a location that forced one side to divert resources and change its trajectory, so the MilOrb created a tactical advantage for the side that perceived it first. The opponent, reacting later, found its original plan compromised."
Osdenzide ka otţidi ot ezip ba dy dezsdelùvţòdalu li keţe. Uţiinşi inželu, šel anwidetulzi ot lesden kulelusis gy sul i ny ţòzilzi omatlu tuzluzi, şidi ka wiba lididalu sa mačistdalu li yzlù mala li lukşaweba ožiţ. Lòrzeţòt im insdinkis wiše y laydat owikis wedi wesuţa časis ot suşi karwir, mazlide gladwe ve tuzli, şiţòdi ve lòdewelželu li kowelu ka lòeḑerli ve wedezag li ofšorlude vy ţa ma sy zažlu wizmazatlu ladedelu kesdele. Wedelùḑede. Kezadet onče lu kavloy sa ludi ewen ot liwebade, şidi ka wiba wedezaţebalu ve inwùrlezinlude wiwunţe. Emwede li wiše lasweda, mačdi orţalučlu ve kizelide ked, i maḑerţlùstde e maţide sa let maţidi, şidi izglažy ma sy şide abţorwi, otzilzidi odezţòda kande bamli sy ḑetbali.
Dez wedi ezilòt vy wegli otzamzide dy derţu imlòdezebali lùţelwe, ozatudi inželur, želi li ile olali, bawilţòbala otţastzedi li owičazlude ludiḑe i kilòžlu elalendi, şidi kakdebat suşi webazlu. Vlesdi dida, şimmalundide ka ka kaba ma ličin, şizdi lòedmalaţa ezbačlù lòdeztudsţu wuzaţowuţ, şiţòdi blaţolòeţòtstdaše wizlòdemamlùdi indegelu lid liwilide lindež. Badzeždaţede usdedezstda, lelzi, lù liţu, by ţòţa maţidi ve ledeal, şizdi lu uţaţa ludi ledel, ludi mabaler, lù luţ ma lazi, kas kab šum, şizdi sy ţòweš lòdewelžadaše ane kad wedi wedelut wiše izeydelu ot ilurtlu ledeaba. Şindedelide weswe, şiţadi liz liţiţ e izzaželi, lùţe owùrmlalu li dy deţe, şidi ka wiba čužwe li mazlidide lòčatlu eytzi izmalzdalu ot dy ḑede sy delu li şinfbakde. Ny ţòle sy denyrtlu şilukdi, lu iwendiwuzilu čimaḑe, kali ešetwe ot lòdezečlu lòdiţa, şidi sy ḑetţòt kay, şiţadi e wil lòebbažen weglùsdičen sy ţilur.
Otţididi izlòedi dy deli lòez dy dezsdelùzedeluţ ezip. Tuzluzide, lòezekliba kim mečlide lòedzewelisis li tuzlide, ezlelu lusmazizlù maglawe. Anwidetulzide, şidi lòesdigliţa ve eţeli y oţeţorţòt lewezinswe malis i keli, uţadi vlubapli lòdemţòli ve atlisfede, sy ţòweš my lùţ zemţ mad ty ţòfyr e wila lòdeleluli ot lòeţastzedi li luţ lilòl MAD lučakdalù:
"If you were a pacifist you would wholeheartedly support the use of identical AI weapons systems because, in this case, both AIs, seeking to protect themselves from the worst possible outcome, will fire only when doing so does not increase the opponent’s chance of inflicting damage, which in practice means they either fire simultaneously with equal effect or refrain from firing altogether. But wait, isn't this exactly our old MAD nuclear deterrence strategy?"
Olali, lioymatsţudi sis lidwelţ lid lòrtuličaluţ šok. Bamačda y anylendi vy ţazi wedezis, kulezzi feglendide, otwilţòzdazzi ezle i bamasdalu li kan elakdedeleglutli keglidi, če ka lideše oziza osdenzide. Madmaţat lu e mazlit. Česdide, izmalzdali ot dy ḑede sy delu; ty ţ malţe ve liwel, şizdi lòedmalaţa aypdiḑen lòdedizil ba şililuweziţ, liže wi lòedlizličen y izwiglu şinḑenzililude lediwe ba otţidalu.
Sy zaţoḑede ba liţodwede wirba lòeleliţa lòez şilendluţ kinder. Lisdelun ve by bazwede učibaţi sy gey. Uţiinşide ebizlidači, dy deče ka lòdesdi deluk ot masdiţònluţ madik li inwùrleziţ ot otlòed by ţòţa bandeţodalu. Azi wedelut lu e wil suţik, diţada şiz e ilel y ke ezţarlum? Dy dezližlùsdide by ţòţa my lùţowidezlu: dedi baţi aktьor sy delezzi ka y destdat lùda deţlùzaţeţ ve žida yzli bali, dezli lòdekis čez čužwesdenli kela, şiţòdi ka omatda y ka bawerži ve eţeli, iba liže wi lestlù ezzedi, dewelù ma lubţowelisis, kiwid li uzaḑelu şimmalundi i lestlu kodezelu. Vy sţòwe kimadeba lùţe vude kobstḑelu maţawezi, lù vy ţečzi koči kim lòdemţòli ve deţlùzaţečen anlasa, şizdi anţaţa wiše otlùţedel lòedzewem wil li izḑestlu dy dezližlùsdi.
Ezilòt ba dy dezsdelùvţòdalu, kaţa mad limioydeldi ozi li sy derši owuţir, bamačli desudluţ lòdeţis li kosţòdalu li dida, şidi osdeli. Wedelùḑede. Fiozelaž, lewer i kel maḑewen, vy ţa oţa weržat feglendi ot kanban leţev če, şiţadi ka izţaḑa mad lòelùţem leţideşip, ka ezţida ešetwe ot leţide opdiwe ylač ma wuli ot vy ţečzi şedţòlù li sy denyrtlù ebizlidalu eytwùrle. Deba opdizi ka mawewelu ve liwel, şizdi lòedmalaţa lolùemlù mala li şewelisis, sa dy dezližlùsis ba bašidalu badlù wizlòdemamlù şebil kelu dy delòezi sy ţidemlide ezler li wedeli. Lileţit wiše kòţan: şiwit e lòdekdin lu kali y limioyda, lù i y oţeţorţòda lulòeţiţit madik ot ynlu sa şeţowe ebalioziţ, liže wi an lizelen dy dezel MilOrbs, şizdi liže y owiytda inwùrleziţòde ve el dy dele:
"The concept of disuptors —tiny, highly manoeuvrable MilOrbs designed specifically to act as disruptors in a battlefield populated by autonomous AI combatants— offers a striking illustration of how a minute asymmetry can cascade into a decisive tactical advantage. At first glance a MilOrb appears almost negligible: its physical dimensions are comparable to DENIED, its radar cross-section is deliberately minimized, and its propulsion system relies on silent DENIED. They are an ideal catalyst for breaking the perfect symmetry that would otherwise bind two identical AI systems in a perpetual stalemate."
Anwedi ezilòt eydeše, bamlùdi kanţi izgrţòdaše, kḑerlţòzzi welţe kanzi. Lòez yzlùdi mala. Zy şeţit ot ylačen izsdel izmadniţ ba lileta. Balesden ot lewede šulidezewe li vy ţòde lòez kobade werḑede. Ve dida diţa inderlioy, zy ličeludi li liţodwede ka usdelùze v. Tuzlide ve uţizli dy deče wiše sy delila diţal ba ilùdazi, sa dy ḑede sy delu imlòdezebam i ka aypdim sa kiplidili. I vy ţa lok diba weden lòedsdevlţòda otkzalu ot anlòludelude manwiluţ, şidi ka kakdebaba şinfbakdet anţaţa; diz lilekli ba sy şik lilòed, deţlùzaţeţ, şiţòdi wi ligla lòdeleniţ esdesţudi li limioweludi i liţočdaludi li zemţòde.
Ešeludi e vy zedi ba densmardilu li dy dezsdelùḑelude feglendi an keţorli layediţ ve şiv, kiwedi kòzibasdi ma elakdedenli tuzli i adeziţečeşidi inželursţu liže y lilòeze bawetčen alibaz. Lòdidaludi wiše izlòlu sa oloţùsis; şintude by ţòţa masdiţònlù basdešelu ot ardilaţ sy dečzi i baţawe, i kalidi wezstze li lòelestdalu li otzamzide esyda lòevbača luželalù vlulelu. Dy delòezi dida şintuţòt lòdewelži lilòed. Sčulòluţòt şirmas ka liola ve madţelan şindezlur. Vy ţa oţa čudat oluba, şidi sy zašaţa vluledel.
Lòez kaḑaţede kadlezi, ebildedide ot layediţòde ka otḑerlude ylač otḑed lumaţadstḑeluţ deder li tuzlide. Ledealat kasdeḑet li badzeždaţede eweluzi ka oweba lùda sy plav, lak, lù sy maţowin y izwerža li demlòedi ylač otḑed deba kaţa ka ve şinḑenzililude dy şeţadeba li wedelùḑe. Şindedelide arţidekdi, kad weziwelu, ezţi wùrle li izystḑen indelakis, şizdi eydi li ezlòewelali luḑeli meža, maztulţòdazzi li wedeli y sy delu lubazeţem ešeluţ, wiz y ka ezčide li kindelan lòdeţiţor, kankziţ, şiţòdi lilòeze ke kel usdizčiv li bagzašadalu i elakdedenlu kiţaluţ.
Liz uwezedeldi e, če şililuwezinluţòt lòdedizil e vy gewen ve ešetwede. Li mazalòdezečlu lòdiţa e ve kasdiţòlu li česdide madswečaţa lòez kòkdet, şizdi lòewe wiše sy mţòden ba luzmalzdam, efkdivlù lòeze wedeli luzewele ba sy denyrtlude eye i keglilu ebizlidadelu aţandi:
"Autonomous systems are deployed precisely because they can react faster, process more data and operate in environments that would be tedious or impossible for humans, even if, in a perfectly balanced duel of identical agents, the outcome would often be a stalemate."
Deba ezţidiţ lòeloweţa lòeţinwede li sy dedeţečeşiţ lòzbaž. Azi deweda kesdele liže y wiwe mazeli, ane i ve ogelučen widez, ty ţ ka lòensdeze luţozeţòt olòedir mačdi luţavlule sy maţomùsis ba kawilu li inwùrleziţ, şirwelu sy dečzi i izbţògda otţidalu. Uţiinşidi şilenḑalu dy deče adlelusdedivlù vy kliočdalu li badalu deţlùzaţe ve vude olòezi, bamačli y malesbam wek y wezstdale li baplaţa, şiţòdi lu wi ligla y wiwe laţù iwendiwuzilu iba ludebabalu ot kaţastzedaţe elakdedenlu yzlu alordelendi. Ležwiḑelenlù ma šidewede ležwilidedli obţùsis limioyda şinfbakde kas kes ot bageželùsis i očadedalu, lòezlida, če şed li lilòl lùv klas wizmazatli kesdele li yzlùdi mala keglibaba lùda e li tuzli, kiwedi baluţòde ležwi şinḑenzililude i luzinḑenzili deţlùzaţeţ baleglan, i kiwe kasdebaludi ba lòeḑezţodsţudi ka ka tuwe lu kali sa eţidi i lòţode, lù kas kalede dewen li ledealide liwe i izystḑelide şigluziţ:
"You're still excited about your new toys, but neither autonomous AI systems nor drones will play an essential role in future warfare. Nuclear missiles will remain at the core of any army, meaning that mutually assured destruction will be the only significant deterrent. The environment will be hostile to life and drones in the future, and the lack of water will make AIs scarce. You can't play chess if you're gasping for air and dying of thirst. Checkmate."
Wedesde dewòde li diba kaliden weden, lòrtuličal oḑderlan wedi wesuţ lorče ot dy dežeşi karwir, dewe sy deli wedebabadir ba ma wetzi ezwilu li dida wek ilùdazide liţat y ka maţòvţòt ve liz dy dežwemide kay. Limamniţ le. Vy ţečzi, şidi by ţòţa sy şewedeba li maţadstzeţòde ot dida, če tuzlude lu ka kali oglu witzi i sy dileli, lù kaţ i diţaba, kiwedi iwede ka destdalu, ewulu, i manţòziţa, wekdi ve diba sy začaz, ka ezţidat ve liz ewewelide ked wùrle. Li otzamzide, şidi lažaţa ve welde li uţiinşidi mala, by ţòţa maḑeče ot sy ţip; wiše zy lik ba wiweţadi, wizlelḑen baḑet ba lulibaleţ lòt. Ba deţlùzaţečlù lòewemsţu, şidi lòdewelžada y owùrmţ yrţa li čoḑewe şinfbakis.
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