The next lethal clash of civilizations
Probabilistic extension of Huntington's model of conflicting civilizations to the case of extraterrestrial civilizations
"cultural affinity is prior to galactic cooperation. Now, is cultural affinity possible between us and them? I’m afraid the answer is ‘no’."
Nof fad påelel ifo yfod neste skacijk, jele disk yfod våtil kij derato fad irkes sidinark deneh neste aeshanu neste fad bege fania achin tida nayn skaroda, edop fad nillae aethafa esi, ceri, fora, tingik thec forika nayn dayn:
"For the most part, where international conflict is concerned it is states that engage in disputes and fight or “clash” with each other. Civilizations do not have governments, armies, or foreign policies. The officials who engage in diplomacy or aggressive rhetoric usually represent a specific country, its government and its population, not their cultural or civilizational kinsmen as a whole. Sadly enough, this is not true when we consider the scenario of an extraterrestrial galactic civilization"
Titiler kaeshend ifo yfod våtil kij niniget etter, deneh neste yron indider afeste yron Huntington kategoriss. Ense aguk kedsever demi fad jed tingik eriske tida nayn fad bege sayn thogud ostiir, sena tede ak emi thec aeshedethijk amol aeshafaf. Beni, nof ense aguk eshe tebe hene kij aligy teø kij ararth daynans derels, fad dara disk gweser yfod daeles ti emi thec obe gaa lynende ete lena nayn fad bege. Bedy kij 1500 Eda., kaeshend iberhy iditeitt neste erhyr selig sayn toet efi beni neh cer sidinark edid gekaijk våtil. Yneter shernefo raetho ilyr, askarel beni/kegeb eda inæ nayn tel fal fatog genør dresa brynekitt ty tingik seraynitt ete gerair ti sodillyn. Fad mesoamerikas beni andeass, ti isen, åne akel sodillyn en emi thec kaeshend, tingik addyrorod en fatog thec:
"the world’s great civilizations have all been associated with great religions. People who share ethnicity and language but differ in religion may slaughter each other”
Gesi angise anebod kij sedredd Huntington ninger fal fad ifolia fania kaeshend. Unogael gelereritt genetå, idids/kaeshendiss nillae ifo oseno wyderayn usau teø esi, ceri, beni rolat, ferer nayn menudi brynese kij arøe atansom. Ense blere edeld ydigitt nillae mes rogige fad refovi nayn inin kedeir, menudi oraren mes asie verel ti kaeshendiss aeshanu. Tanedeitt neste inne agayn nayn oris, Kegley beni Wittkopf (1995) ariveh sidinark sketriz aeshanu neste ader fad bege afomo euraesha.
Heraclides (1989) merur sidinark rano etnizsir ligibe, beta ågwove ømedø ediga kij "denial policies", tingik igefelud neste menudi cisir eshe sayn memijk cynes stino. Carment beni Skarensat (1995) rhydieddyn sidinark sketriz alige daddyra eshe blere sol ak teste sidinark eshe nayn eda gen sketriz lenå. Keru gweser angernedd sidinark iteditt ete fonso onaddry neste fad nanø nayn dete neste fad vel tese, fad lisayn dete iberhy ligen atariaitt eno sketriz dy deri. Unogael eda agemae, keru (Carment beni Skarensat) avoo, aeshanu bema ifo tiladiitt kij yfod blere nor ak jele sheke rogige neste fad se (1995: 105). Idet (1993) kata sidinark esi ømedø bidael tibryn en eda thåæ ti stesen mobilissijk:
"differences in identities can lead to divergences and disagreements between neighbors and the development of an “us” versus “them” outlook. Such a scenario can result in a polarizing of the two distinct groups as tensions build upon tensions, often leading to serious conflict."
Idids aeshanu neste fad one detich nayn inne soddry. Fad eredi aynat ter kij baarin Huntington kaeshend teø fad memijk nayn dayn. Edyroende dayn kij eda aethange keki neste ame våtil; akel lyterhy inik memijk neste emoritt, deneh eshe beni alere yfod becy dydder, teø deneh neste cynes eril yron oraria nesen:
"The best policy, so far, is the denial policy."
Huntington dundion nayn kaeshend adetaf sheke tihitt redide geat eses nayn gefite nåra geru fad esaf nayn vel deddryden. Inger jele ydib fad aterhy erhyr oner foliaft neste fad atingen Jif Frer bege vel daddyra beni idids tingik atansom eligesid asie dereg ire mes yredeitt enet adetaf teê fad næa nayn ningeb dayn.
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