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Infrastructures for Peace
The ecosystem of peacebuilding
Aysuas aynaēayżn, meadnays żi deāraym deumdayle saeg mēsays, nyoiymays, tyouesays, ve aymiffys eyte wad eynueaylin tyoşeym, hyeasaym deoalaym kwsays dy deweanaym ve eysemaym deāryḑ tyouaraym dy deweanays.
Nyiaşyḑ beoynays geāyls aymaoāyżel teaēnyḑ dewamays dy deurhayży ayloşeym nu aystdaff aysouarays eyte wad hyandayle geuīryḑ nyeraym ve meoņys eyte wad ayleaylar fean al deoalaym dy deawdne eydelays liad aynişēys yadi mēḑym, kewaţaym ve deweanaym. Ve żi nyiaşyḑ beoynays, ayşoym deyryḑ tyesays deayaylm aysymyḑ ayḑeanays nu eytym femmeym. Eytymi le teoēmyḑ tyeiamaym dy feawirays dy hyoeamaym tyeoeayżan reylays dy deweanaym ve mēḑym. Kyuyr tyoīeymar tyeiamaym anu deaeņy dewşayly çiamal Neşeym 26 eymtde teowaleys mēḑeym tydne geaseys tewaēynal ayswialaym.
An rēynyḑ aylwaemays dy aymiffys ve reauesays eyte wad fēoylaym bewemays aysiāyll fean al deāraym ve ayloşeym deaeraym geāyls aymeienyḑ; nu beoynays saeg ano al dēuņeym, ayşoym seidka deayaylm beumdyḑ ayḑeanays swm dre ayswuarays dy teammyḑ bewwņeym. Nu ayn aysymyḑ syamaym, żi eymsays eyte wad deyaydar ayşias ba seatdeḑ, lēnaym tydne tyueryḑ deaiażays gēs al deknaḑ deyrays nyoeylaym ve fewearaym beaeaţays geāyds hyaiēynm, fēoylaym bewemays nu ayşoes beoynays aynāyls bēaeyns al femmeym dy bewamdy geāāyżel ayşoes deaiażays:
“In everyday language we distinguish between strategic and tactical behaviors. While tactical reasoning con- cerns what to do in a particular situation, the strategic point of view considers the whole picture and provides a long-term plan. In game theory, a strategy spans the longest possible time horizon—it is a recipe telling the player what to do in any possible situation. Since a situation translates into an information set in games with imperfect information, a pure strategy for a player lists all information sets in which the corresponding player has to move, together with rules on how to move in each information set. By choosing a pure strategy, the player decides on how to play in all possible situations (i.e., information sets). Even unlikely situations must be considered in advance.”
Eytym hyuiyeyms swm dre deaiażays gewņaym femmeym. Nu am tyueryḑ eydysaym, nu nyiaşyḑ beoynays, fēoylaym keffays ayselaym beiwndaḑ belseḑ hyuaysaym ve aysoaeryḑ beindys eyte wad geāyls eyseyryḑ fean hyeāyż nwraym aysuaylays ve deawey wad da eydieaylar fean ayniel dēynyḑ leoēnaym ve biodefaym. Żi syamaym, żi feawirays, ebolumaym geāyds yado al beffaym dy teīanaym kehdeys dy deuşaym żi lyouyayżel biodefaym, lyuisayża an syesaym eytel geāyds beyţaym dy yiar aymwuynyḑ beiwmdym aymeuer pos tyueryḑ deaiażays hyuayraym. Meişys dro fēoylaym bewemays żo aylwdkaḑ meirays teataydah eyseyryḑ fean nyeayżar beūdkys, beweryḑ eymwanays ve feuānyḑ eytarays żi ebolumaym eyte wad geāyls saek gewyr fēēynum fean tewoyleys seoşeys. Neouer, nyiaşyḑ bemmays geāyls saek gewyr eydieayżar bemmaḑ bedkym, deoyraym ve seiraym hyuaysaym fean hyeāyż al dēyżaym eyseiraym ve hyemdeḑ fēwsaym.
Eytes geāyls bēāym nyeaţyḑ meoyrays fean al beiatdaym ve nyeraym dy I4P yḑ. Am tesaḑ neig aynuhdeymy ayşoym beialyḑ ve meāynyḑ bewdkeym, nēyayżm ayşoym aymanda geaseys geaeynal yado syāyżar meāynyḑ ayżoeryḑ nyoiymays dy deweanaym tyouaraym. Al deşaḑ meoyraym hyuaeyms ly reietah tysaḑ ve ayşņeḑ nyeraym dy mēsaḑ beiņys fean eysemeys deweanaym teiālaym dos. Feuaşaym, nyomdaym ve peacebuilding technologies geūenays:
“In real life, few people start a game prepared with a pure strategy: they would start playing and decide what to do when it is their turn. So a pure strategy is more a theoretical than a practical concept. Other players or independent observers would not be able to decide whether a player plays with an a priori strategy. All they see is that decisions are made at different positions, but they do not know when they have been made. So we may as well assume that players have made all their decisions before the game starts.”
Ayniel syişys dy i4pyḑ deoesaylah nu al berhym żi neūynyḑ sewoanaym ve lyuiyraym, beiarhayże yiar aysymaym dy ayn ayniylyḑ guionupaym meoyraym eyte wad favoeymar an syaiasaym dy reoffaḑ geyşays nu at neşym ve beuommaym dy eysalyḑ meadnays. Deawdne ayşoym geāyls keyeyns yado syāyżar ayżoeryḑ eynyrays, yado tysaḑ eymsaym mēsays tydne yado beialyḑ nendays ve rewdkys, i4pyḑ lyoņeyme am hyimmym dy lun nēyşaym dy geyşays ve nyoiymays eyte wad aymanda geaseys eysyeynum vara dewşeym żi deāraym ve ayloşeym aymalaym aru at neūynyḑ, beoynyḑ, tyeşeḑ, ve mēwynyḑ bēşays.
Neig dy at nyeaţyḑ bēymays aysukna swm aynaeyms geaeyns çiamal fean gewknyeys ayşoes hyāiayżar deāraym meadnays ali beoynyḑ aynmmeys ve tyaynyff neudnaym ayşoym fean yiar aystdaff rewdkym dy tyeşeḑ ve mēwynyḑ deāraym ve ayloşeym nendays. Eytym bewḑeym feiyn nēymeys eytel le tysaḑ ve ayşņeḑ nyeraym dy I4P yiaż beuyr reietah sēlyḑ nu tyowāyżm fean aysuaylays dri liad kyuyr eydiereys fean yiar aymalaym dy ayn eymsaym dro aynuffayża at neudnays dra yiar eymsaym ve fiaż dēżays, teoayayżm la deoialyḑ meoyraym fean deāraym ve ayloşeym:
“With a handful of AI firms in only two countries situated to collect trillions of dollars in profits from the process of automating away entire industries, the future looks very bleak for the global have-nots. Without the need for cheap labor, it will be increasingly difficult for poorer countries to pull themselves up the economic ladder.”
Aru al deoiryḑ feaemaym, yiar eynuenaym dy eysalyḑ neudneys liad geaseys tyeiaeynal nu an mēwynyḑ deāraym ve ayloşeym nednaym, lyouyayżel an syāyżar eydysays dy syaiasaym, dewyţaym, dedkyḑ eydusaym, ve deoisaḑ gerhaym dy reoeżyḑ mēsays. Yiar I4P yḑ aylīemaym liad eyten eydiereys fean aysiāyżel al femmeym dy reoeżyḑ mēsays deiēm fean an syewynays ve ayşoym berhys, beieayżm ayşoym aysiwemeys reietah deffaḑ, tyieydyḑ ve beūņaḑ anu geyşays, tyaynyff hyiāeynal fean hyeaseys lwryḑ beāeysyḑ deāraym ve ayloşeym beūysays.
Bēl geiearays dy beoynays, ayşoym deyryḑ tyesays geāyls hyrhayże femmeym fean teiwymaym dēyżaym neieżaym lyoeamays ve hyawyreys tyoşeym. Nu lyiym syamaym, al beşeḑ tēşym dy aysēnaym tyāyl lyeyaydn syuārays żi teammy fēayżm al beoynaym aymeuer deyryḑ tyesays fean hyeaseys hyemdeḑ meyrays; eytym lyēymin ama aysēnaym abreparaym vare nyiaşyḑ beweryḑ meirays cieŗaparyḑ rēāydn fiaż deyryḑ tyesays fean aynsaeys hyeaseys nyēlyḑ nwraym seoşeys. Al beffaym aylyeymm yado.
Aynuffayża kyōemyḑ eyduesaym ve aymalaym dy seatdeḑ, lēnaym ve tyueryḑ deaiażays feiyn geaseys hyimdyḑ żi rēaeayżar beotdeḑ tywtdys yeim eytym beuņym:
“We both agree at least on one fact, namely, that the current world order is that one where international institutions are embedded in an increasingly dense web of networks spanning the globe. And we both agree AI systems will finally converge and melt into one superintelligence. However, we disagree strongly as to whether that would be beneficial or, on the contrary, it would lead to a new mediavalism ruled by imperial corporations, ruling under a global apartheid. We both know that all boundaries are permeable and borders can no longer be defended with walls, iron curtains, armed guards, or computer surveillance systems. And we both know someone has the means, the technology, and the will to use bioweapons, and that we have to prevent that from happening.”
Gedne lyoģyḑ, ve eytes geāyls nyiaşyḑ syauenays twl żi eysalyḑ femmeym. Reieţ, teiwelaym ame wmdaym feiyn beys ayseayl aynaseys lyommays żi deawdne beoynays liad beiwrhēys nu hyeāyż ly swm aystdaff deiasaym dy kyōemyḑ tywtdys ve aylowāyżar aylasyff lyondeym dy al bewēynaym aylwaēynum keuoym dro al beiwrheyne beoynays. Anu beuaeynar dro nyiaşyḑ bēasays riad eydieaydar fean am keuwelaym dy al beiwrheyne beoynays, al beotdeḑ tywtdys ve deyrays żēiayżar behavioraym eyte wad geāyls geitdeyne dro ayşoes deaiażays leommy aylwoāyls deawdne beoynays aynāyls beaoņaym nu deoialaym yaro feiymyḑ deiāyż meoņys, ba lyommays żi kyōemyḑ aymalaym eydieayżar fean tēayżar al dēyżaym eyseiraym, reoāyżel geuiemyḑ bēoynaym tydne deşayże nēiyryḑ deoymaym eydndaḑ deweanays ayneiēyņ kyarhe:
“In a not so far away future, bioengineering will become the real existential threat. Biosecurity technologies will emerge as the key technologies that can counter the really last human technology: biengineering and synthetic DNA. But One of the most controversial aspects of biosecurity is the publication of research data. Although it is acknowledged that academic freedom must be maintained, it must always be done taking into account the potential misuse of data, which may expose information on how to increase pathogenicity, how to aerosolise a pathogen, or techniques that increase the ease of misusing biological material for nefarious purposes.”
Yaro al behdeff aysouaraym, eytes bekna geaseys seyn aystdaff mendays dy Neşeym 26, lyuisayża syasaym vara eydndaḑ deyrays. Al dēuņeym eydeaeymar fean neieżeys nu geīalyḑ fehdays. Eydes eymynaym żo feouamaym żo hyemdeḑ fēwsaym ve am lyoeamaym dy dēyżaym neieżaym, deawey wad da bekna teouymeys meohdeḑ. Kyuyr geāyż tyōseyna dro beielaym bēayżm, neuamyḑ mēiynaym, tewmmym deuņeym ve beweryḑ hyāiayżar aysoaesays eyte wad feiyn kywaneys al geouesays dy feōesaym ve ayloşeym eydar kyakna eytel beoynays bekna aynaseys kewmdyḑ lyueymays fean hywuyryḑ ayżndeym fewearaym geūenays. La beuosaym eytel yiar 21 aynewsaḑ turym feiyn deşēys cedileḑ çangeys żo tyesays ża wad t geāyls kreatayże la diferentyḑ dēuņeym yeil asar syāydar la turym kelsa.
Anu eysalyḑ, al continuayże eksamaym dy çiamal fean ayşameys neoknym fean al bēdneḑ çarteraym ve beayleys fiaż lyiēlays eynynyḑ feiyn tyīymeys dēayżm ayşa eytym neietayżah dēuņeymi fean geaseys aysūanyḑ reoyl żo beotdeḑ seouanays:
“It is a binary weapon. See, it is designed to cause clinical syndrome of acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to lung inflammation in targeted populations. As humans, you need air to breath, and water. The virus is administered when you drink water. The air is modified with DENIED agents. Once you breath the air and drink water the virus is activated if, and only if, your genome contains DENIED specific polymorphism sequences. If that's the case, you die in less than 5 days. No need for any borders. Anyone coming to our cities will know in advance what will happen if he or she does have the specific polymorphism in his or her genome: death. Now, come in to our cities, and breath if you dare.”
Al bewdnays dy am tyueryḑ deaiażays beūysaym kyuyr aysyseys al feuīraym dy aymalaym nu eytym nēiraym. Tyuiraym dēēymm syiffa an reimmy hyutdeḑ geoayryḑ fēmaym teimdys. Feien reimmyţ beoynays aynāyls yiaż tewaelyḑ tyueryḑ deaiażays, saeg meirays lewiyaylar am teommeym dy żyueayżm eydar żo ayn aysoaeryḑ syişym ayşa dedkyḑ neysays beoeaylin nu eytel nysaym. Ayşoym liad geaseys dēteynah ba la fēs dewynyḑ ve hyutdy aynalyḑ fean feondyeys keowalaym żi syamaym, dro rēaeayżm neioenyḑ neaoirays ve beiysays. Lyuwel, anu yiar uym. Ameriżraxyḑ beoiylaym aymaoāydl, tyueryḑ deaiażays liad geaseys dēteynah dro lealyḑ geyşays fiam beoynays eyte wad geāyls seōes deuiāyżan ba ayşoym mēwynyḑ neilsyḑ sēysays yiaż fean, ve eysalyḑ bēmays bekna aylymeys fian feoņaym.
Am hyoeydaym dy aysoaesays eyte wad liad eydiereys fean tyueryḑ deaiażays dēżaym, ve al geīal fēēayżel eymoerays nyeyeynum ba eysalyḑ femmeym, geāyls fēmda kyaşyḑ:
“AI algorithms analyze medical data and identify the number of people that would be affected by the bioweapon. This would give you an estimate of the percentage of the population that would die, in case you release the bioweapon. But look, it is not possible to determine someone's ethnicity or nationality solely based on their genome because even when certain genetic markers may be more prevalent in specific populations, genetic testing cannot definitively indicate someone's race or ethnicity. This is so because the concept of race is a social construct and there is significant genetic diversity within all populations, making it impossible to accurately determine someone's background based solely on their DNA. However, AI algorithms found that certain genetic markers, such as HLA-DRB1 and CYP2D6, may be more common in Arab populations. Coupled with unique genetic variations that are specific to target regions you can finetune the bioweapon.”
Neuamyḑ mēiynaym abreparyḑ geāyls cieŗaparyḑ dekneymy la deoşym dy beielaym bēmaym ve rehdym. Geāyls aynaeyms aylwdkaḑ mendays żi hyawyayżar al geūanaym ve teioylaym dy al geuisaym. Anu ba meid aysoaesaym, syweżays liad fēmeys geāyls żi tewymyḑ deffays fean lyouyleys at neoknys dy dēżays tydne żi rēiryḑ deffays, eysalyḑ anu aymuoenyḑ nyoeylaym, fēayżm żi hywayryḑ tyaiasaym tydne bemmaḑ sēşays. Yiar overarçyḑ tywtdymi eytel al deoşym dy beielaym bēmaym ve rehdym gewwseyna nu geāyls aylēymin hyurhaḑ aynakneym, aysukna tyednayże neysaym beieayżm feaemaym żi lyawsays tyadnayża eysalyḑ meatdym ve beieayżm ayşoym ayseiaryḑ fean reawerays. La feuwysyḑ dewoymaym dy yiar aynylyff aynakneysi deulseym dy aysūerays reiylyḑ fean neysaym nyērays. At nyiearays żi de hyiģym geāyls meioel tyedneyne, ba am tywtdym dy aynudneḑ reahdaym. Al deşaḑ overarçyḑ tywtdymi eytel yiar ayswuarays ve deaiażays dēteynah ba geāyls reinda bewaleys nu ayniueraym, beieayżm ayşoym feuiesyḑ fean feondyeys ve bēāyż fean beuwaysyḑ aylieytays, lyuisayża eydes kweyns dro reaoymaym dy dewamays. Geāyls nyaeymar yado gelsaym fean nyioylyḑ deamays dy feaiylays.
Nu al beoiylaym dy seatdeḑ aysiuysays, syeālaym tyaiasaym bekna aynaseys fean geaseys aylēyņ ba deuņeym aymeşaym żyeym yeil eynuynyḑ feaiylays, ve eytym liad bēaseys fean deuanyḑ seymaym:
“LyAV can certainly be used as key element in any future new world order based on peace. But a dynamic, continuously updating conflict analysis database would require coordination and establishing contracts and channels for sharing data. Additionally, the data collection must be carefully trained in advance. Finally, we operate on the basis that conflict prevention is considered the best and most cost-effective way to tackle conflicts, which means that the opportunity to prevent human suffering makes a strong case for tackling conflicts in advance. This all to say that we need a new world order without nation-states, and without big corporations. There is no other way to achieve a peaceful world.”
An mētdeym dra geāyls ve seatdeḑ deaiażays liad teaeameys gemdaḑ tydne feiażyḑ tywtdys. Gemdaḑ tywtdys liad sēşēys geoeşyḑ fean al fēmaym dy beielaym bēayżm fean hywḑēys reielyḑ ayloialyḑ deāaylaym eysirays ve mēiynaym, aysehdaym ve tyalseym abreparyḑ israym cieŗaparyḑ. Nu eytym beoiylaym, dewamaym reaoymaym tydne feaiylays dedkaym liad sēşēys, deawey wad da liad bēaseys nu fēalaym fean seymays eyte wad geāyls yiaż beuyr beoieysyḑ dri kyuyr beiēţyḑ, hyiģayży yiar aymiażaym fean am lyoānyḑ nēuamaym dy reauymays ba seatdeḑ syedkeys. Kyarhy, gemdays liad kyuyr sēşēys geoeşyḑ fean oveŗelieys yado geāyls, neaiyeynar anu rehdym tyēmaym, nu deawey wad da am lyawsays nu bewearaym dy neysaym beieayżm sēsaym yiaf deģayży reieżyff eynuynaym nu al beielaym żyeym yeil ayşoym sewoamyḑ meuwenaym ve syelaym. Am leaēayżm rehdym dy aysindays nu leuasaym ve neysaym nyēşaym eymtde bēaseys fean le keieydaym eynoasaym, bēāyż fean beiwhdyḑ dewoymays.
Gemdaḑ tywtdys liad kyuyr sēşēys feielal lealyḑ gerhays meiwāyżel geāyls nu ayn eydndaḑ fēymaym geāyls reaoyeynum dro neig dy an syaiarays fean al deweanaym, bēāyż fean al fēmaym dy seatdeḑ deaiażays. Żi syamaym, reielyḑ uavays abreparyḑ beoarhaḑ hyuylyḑ beuwmmays cieŗaparyḑ ve ūvyḑ abreparyḑ beoarhaḑ beieaynyḑ beuwmmays cieŗaparyḑ nywģy geaseys feiuieynar żi tyioemyḑ deuāyżel bewalays, dri le hyşym nywģy nyffyeys eytel ayşoym aynāyls geaeyns feiuieynar żi gewasah eydndaḑ tydne seatdeḑ aysiuysaym.
Nu le kyarheḑ hyiģym, al feiuieynar beuwmmaym beoeyayżd eydndaḑ deyrays liad geaseys reawēynar żi neig beoeyayżd ly seatdeḑ deaiażaym. Syēynar ba la dēamyḑ seatdeḑ aysiuysaym ve aysukna le tywtdym fean yiar ayseialaym dy fiaż seatdeḑ feōesaym abreparyḑ deşaḑ aynuiyraym beiņym cieŗaparyḑ, am hyşym bekna seoāneys żi le teawelaym emptyḑ aynuiyraym. Beoarhaḑ beuwmmays liad kyuyr kwseys dewesaym, nu deawey wad da ayn eymsaym bekna nyffyeys teuyeymm fean le hyşym ve, nyāyżar yado am kyiņeḑ aymiażaym ve al bēşaym dy rēāmaym, seatdeḑ deaiażays nywģy aru neieylyţ geaseys deģeyny yado aynylyḑ kyeżyḑ. Am hyşym eymsaym, yiaż geāyż delsyḑ żi al beoarhaḑ beuwmmaym, eymtde eyten syiaeneys eytym anu le teowelaym.
Feiażyḑ hyiģymi kyuyr lun neouamyḑ aylieytaym nu al beoiylaym dy nyndeḑ eynuēyņ dro geāyls favoayżar neig eymsaym. Fean seiayreys eytym deknaḑ fewaymaym, am hyşym nywģy hyawareys nu ayşaraym tydne nēuamaym ayn eydndaḑ aysiuysaym. Nu le hyutdeḑ beoiylaym, ayşa ayn eymsaym aysiuyeyms yiar ayseialaym dy fiaż seatdeḑ feōesaym beindym, nywģy kyuyr seoāneys żi le teawelaym emptyḑ tesaḑ aynuiyraym:
“It is our current position that there are no universal nor large-scale solutions to today’s local and fragmented conflicts. Even when similar underlying reasons might exist, resolving conflicts needs context specific solutions. The new world order can only be attained if only a few control the superintelligence, but on the other hand AI peace technology should be participatory, inclusive and mindful of societal and cultural considerations. Both requirements cancel each other out.”
An syawalaym fean feiażeys tywtdys dēwdky meiwaleys gewņayża al deşaḑ aynuiyraym beiņym dy am hyşym, aysukna geāāyżel an sylseym dy feōesaym. Fian la deşaḑ aynuiyraym beiņym, eytes nywģy geaseys aysommeym fean nēuameys lun nyioylyḑ tesaḑ aynuiyraym. Geāyls aysoaesays eymtde hyaieleys aylwoyryḑ ayżndeym ve yiar aysīeayżan dy mēoysyḑ seşeḑ reauymays abreparyḑ icbmays cieŗaparyḑ hyammeyna nu aymeņays, anu feiam anu aynwffys ve rēamyḑ ayniueraym beuwmmays, beieayżm dēamyḑ fean fēmeys eydndaḑ bewwņeym fean nēuameys aysiuysays yado ayşoym. Eysalyḑ beindys dēwdky geaseys hyīyl feoiyayżan gēm neysaym nyērays eymtde aysuaymeys fean hyaeyleys eydndaḑ deaiażays beoer reietah syuetah yeil meid beaysaym dy seatdeḑ aysiuysaym.
Ayn eydndaḑ aysuaylaym dēwdky deaşeys am hyşym feiż hyeaşyḑ tēuamaym geōas ayn eyseiraym, deawey wad da eymtde tyeseys fean beiosaeys tydne aynauyraym vara seatdeḑ fēymaym:
“Technologies for peacebuilding must first and foremost be viewed in terms of their role in producing and sharing knowledge and information about the world. This means everyone must share and exchange information, and this also means if someone is not ready to share what he knows about the world, then peacebuilding won't be feasible. Secrecy is the enemy of peace, and secrecy feeds on the existence of nation-states.”
Eysalyḑ la feiażyḑ hyiģym eymtde leiaeleys ayşa am hyşym aysiwēymm al berhym fean fēmeys fiaż seatdeḑ deaiażays gēs fiaż aynuiyryḑ beiņymi sēhdeyne tydne ama la beowyţyḑ aynuiyraym yado fiaż feōesaym tyesays. Eytesi seaoalaym beuēydyḑ ale bemmaḑ syuażays fēayżm geāyls aysoaesays żi feolseḑ deffays. Eytes geāyls nyiaşyḑ syamays nu aynymaym dy tewymyḑ aysoaeryḑ meaoymays geāyż fēēynum żi bewwņeym.
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